Polymarket Trader

sharingan-kakashi

0x1c708b8f85d1b58970dd8a57385a19b1792c4c51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: $2.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.93K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$82.5

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.89K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $34
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $316.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $178.5

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $177.37
Potential payout: $274.99
Potential profit: $97.62
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $5.68

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $223.88
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: $8.83

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $4.82

No position

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $164.22
Potential payout: $189.96
Potential profit: $25.74
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $173.25
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $19.55

Yes position

Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.02
Potential profit: $166.02
User PnL: -$9.08

No position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $133.63
Potential payout: $144.47
Potential profit: $10.84
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.01

No position

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $112.45
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $17.55
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $100.85
Potential payout: $124.5
Potential profit: $23.66
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will Eddie Lumsden win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $106.05
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will John Cowan win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $106.05
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Brian Stover win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $106.05
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $106.05
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will Clarence Blalock win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $106.05
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $90.73
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.05
Potential profit: $76.05
User PnL: -$2.06

No position

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $59.24
Potential payout: $74.99
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.98

Yes position

Will Vermont be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?

Ends Mar 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.14

Yes position

Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.87

Yes position

Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.06

Yes position

Will Schiff win the California Senate Primary?

Ends Mar 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.06

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.03

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?

Ends Feb 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.49

No position

Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.74

Yes position

Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?

Ends Feb 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.7

No position

Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.21

Suozzi position

NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)

Ends Feb 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.85

No position

Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.68

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.22

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $23

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.41

Yes position

Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?

Ends Feb 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.72

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.67

No position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

No position

Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by more than 60% of the vote?

Ends Feb 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

No 78% 25 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 77% 24.99 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 66% 25 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 76% 31.2 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 93% 25 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

No 92% 5 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

No 99.1% 20 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

No 96.2% 25 shares
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

No 72% 8 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

No 97.2% 9.99 shares
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 95.9% 25 shares
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 95.2% 10 shares