Polymarket Trader

peasant

0x1c72797cd4b9b83f42e287144e334c4de347dfb6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.91K
Realized PnL: $846.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.4K
Potential profit: $349.4K
User PnL: -$169.52K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $270.94K
Potential profit: $267.55K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$934.19

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.39K
Potential profit: $151.39K
User PnL: -$82.79K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.27K
Potential profit: $135.27K
User PnL: -$76.38K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $98.72K
Potential profit: $97.59K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$345.52

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.14K
Potential profit: $43.14K
User PnL: -$28.4K

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.2K
Potential profit: $8.2K
User PnL: -$6.37K

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $288
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$305

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $99.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $15.75

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.09
Potential profit: $85.09
User PnL: -$32.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.83K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.86K

Yes position

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.16K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.85K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.21K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.34K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.22K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.05K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.87K

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.18K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.13K

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.14K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.95K

Yes position

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.58K

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.07K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.35K

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26K

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38K

No position

Ripple above $3.15 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84% 5,269.69 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84.2% 26,598.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 83.6% 3,383.74 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 83.9% 12,501.31 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 81.7% 50,000 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 69.1% 157.99 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 52.1% 125.09 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 98.5% 1,149 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Yes 34% 2,500 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 65% 4,056.79 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 98.6% 4,275.12 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 25.3% 14,557.74 shares