Polymarket Trader

0x1c76...71f2

0x1c76ba18d6b1a99042a47c57e309bc36da8671f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $17.93
Realized PnL: $3.85
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.21
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.29
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $20.94
Potential profit: $16.79
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $19.02
Potential profit: $18.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $12.01
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $2.62

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $0.21

Hungary position

Spread: Finland (-2.5)

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 14.2% 7.3 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 61% 14.46 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25.2% 17.47 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 143.18 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 7.5% 23.6 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76.2% 19.04 shares