0x1c83544B34532464F529E08CF5D94575bA6Bb8DB-1767879861140

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.76
Potential profit: $104.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.57
Potential profit: $101.57
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Adam Scott (Severance) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.7
Potential profit: $49.7
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.87
Potential profit: $45.87
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler (Sinners) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Bugonia" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.49
Potential profit: $33.49
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Bugonia" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.22
Potential profit: $27.22
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Supergirl" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.86
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.92
Potential profit: $23.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.13
Potential profit: $20.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Pluribus win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.85
Potential profit: $16.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.76
Potential profit: $16.76
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.48
Potential profit: $15.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.12
Potential profit: $13.12
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET