Polymarket Trader

0x1c8e6573409C3BAf00CA33cdBeb48DB3691baacB-1775827072083

0x1c8e6573409c3baf00ca33cdbeb48db3691baacb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $477.69
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $662.69
Potential profit: $662.69
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.52
Potential profit: $554.52
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.58
Potential profit: $529.58
User PnL: -$20.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.35
Potential profit: $524.35
User PnL: -$18.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.22
Potential profit: $519.22
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $515.91
Potential profit: $515.91
User PnL: -$15.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.05
Potential profit: $475.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.51
Potential profit: $418.51
User PnL: -$18.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.02
Potential profit: $414.02
User PnL: -$16.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390.12
Potential profit: $390.12
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.2
Potential profit: $380.2
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.44
Potential profit: $371.44
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.05
Potential profit: $353.05
User PnL: -$14.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.05
Potential profit: $347.05
User PnL: -$8.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.39

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.61x
User PnL: -$5.32

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 44.2% 45.23 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 8.7% 115.37 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

No 9.2% 108.78 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 24.39 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

No 29% 14.49 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Yes 46.7% 31.43 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Yes 63.6% 31.44 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 60% 33.33 shares