Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Polymarket Trader
4Dvisionary
0x1c981a3ec424774494f4b76a6771069c408f727b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.75
- Realized PnL
- $885.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $760.15
- Potential profit
- $760.15
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.97
- Potential profit
- $442.97
- User PnL
- -$6.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.42
- Potential profit
- $419.42
- User PnL
- -$7.61
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $93.75
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $322.92
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.91
- Potential profit
- $318.91
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.42
- Potential profit
- $316.42
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.52
- Potential profit
- $255.52
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.36
- Potential profit
- $245.36
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.85
- Potential profit
- $210.85
- User PnL
- -$10.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during National Agriculture Day events?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.08
- Potential profit
- $184.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 7?Yes 38% 23.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 7?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?Yes 33% 21.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 7?Yes 14.8% 67.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 7?Yes 39% 38.46 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 21% 94 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 21% 71.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?No 13% 35.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 15?Yes 11.1% 40.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 20% 9.75 shares