No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$978.73
Polymarket Trader
TMDG
0x1ca38840a9fe45fd9b040b9b8df703b353c317a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $2.57K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $131.99
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $15.74
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $725.65
- Potential profit
- $725.65
- User PnL
- -$394.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.57
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.52
No position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.34
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.79
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.02
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 87.1% 1,147.73 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 70.4% 837.53 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 590.8 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 39% 997.72 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 474.52 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 40.9% 232.21 shares
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 11.8% 85 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 128 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 84% 590.81 shares
- Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Yes 4.9% 204.08 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 11% 789.47 shares