Polymarket Trader

Jiang2025

0x1ca4fd853a8eea337a93ed969338b55a655bf2d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.51K
Realized PnL: $13.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $8.3K
Potential payout: $24.07K
Potential profit: $15.77K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$4.38K

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.43K
Potential payout: $7.44K
Potential profit: $11.17
User PnL: $587.62

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $6.15K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.28K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$735.27

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$447.54

No position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $323.3
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$60.69

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $917.18
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $786.09
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $20.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $459

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $581.82
Potential profit: $577.46
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$82.91

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $62.98
Potential payout: $163.59
Potential profit: $100.61
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $88.25
Potential payout: $88.87
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $3.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

No position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $719.46

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.76

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $600.33

Over position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.24

T1 Academy position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.15

Yes position

Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415

Oh My God position

LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410

9INE position

Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.97

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $323.95

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.55

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.95

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $224.49

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.12

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.56

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $179.17

Rooster position

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 51.2% 3,498.62 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

No 3.1% 7,999.95 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 10,415.36 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 61% 12.67 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Yes 76% 279.31 shares
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

Yes 13% 3.46 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 5% 5,438.75 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 3% 2,300 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 61% 2,000 shares
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 91.1% 0.17 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?

No 99.9% 10 shares