Yes position
Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $669.25
- Potential profit
- $669.25
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Polymarket Trader
TradingOutcomes
0x1ca673bf92c715260cb67dca17c5c602f2898e5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.77
- Realized PnL
- $638.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $90.74
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $33.45
- Potential payout
- $83.62
- Potential profit
- $50.17
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.47
- Potential profit
- $70.47
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.48
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$28.48
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.45
- Potential profit
- $49.45
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $13.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.63
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.12
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.62
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.05
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?No 61% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?Yes 14% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 86% 20 shares
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 74% 27.03 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 50 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 26 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 79% 50 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 84% 23.81 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 78% 25.64 shares
- Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes 0.1% 126.74 shares