Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.08K
- Potential profit
- $590.08K
- User PnL
- -$78.77K
Polymarket Trader
0x1caA6a7ad0c6916aeF7b67946De2e57Ad24846a0-1772054568088
0x1caa6a7ad0c6916aef7b67946de2e57ad24846a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.91
- Realized PnL
- $501.18K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.39K
- Potential profit
- $298.39K
- User PnL
- -$10.62K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $180.91
- Potential payout
- $72.36K
- Potential profit
- $72.18K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.82K
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$7K
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.25K
- Potential profit
- $18.25K
- User PnL
- -$9.6K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.66K
- Potential profit
- $13.66K
- User PnL
- -$5.8K
Vanderbilt Commodores position
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.89K
- User PnL
- -$4.98K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29K
Yes position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.5
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$853.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.51K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 14% 236.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 25% 40,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 12% 83,953.59 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 68.9% 145.16 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 61.8% 163.51 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 65.2% 153.35 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 70.8% 847.66 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 54.8% 365 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 59.5% 8,402.03 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 42.8% 8,173.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 14% 50,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 89% 9,719 shares