Polymarket Trader

0x1cbAA1059735D1ec4518472A69714bE1c30996e2-1781840522186

0x1cbaa1059735d1ec4518472a69714be1c30996e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.44
Realized PnL: $22.42
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $154.25
Potential profit: $149.7
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1.55

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.94
Potential profit: $52.94
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $52.17
Potential profit: $41.48
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $29.63
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $9.47
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$1.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $6.12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $3.77
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Mexico to win the second half?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $1.18
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

France position

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Ecuador position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 5?

Yes 1.9% 154.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?

Yes 39% 5.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 4?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Up 11% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Up 99% 2.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Up 43% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Up 53% 3.77 shares