Polymarket Trader

Wickier

0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $513.95K
Realized PnL: $980.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $838.57K
Potential profit: $838.57K
User PnL: -$134.88K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $462.27K
Potential payout: $462.96K
Potential profit: $694.45
User PnL: $400.72K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.37K
Potential profit: $376.37K
User PnL: -$29.92K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.06K
Potential profit: $305.06K
User PnL: -$37.25K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.99K
Potential profit: $243.99K
User PnL: -$31.79K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.7K
Potential profit: $198.7K
User PnL: -$9.17K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.67K
Potential profit: $150.67K
User PnL: -$7.57K

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.6K
Potential profit: $140.6K
User PnL: -$7.79K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.22K
Potential profit: $113.22K
User PnL: -$7.72K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.38K
Potential profit: $108.38K
User PnL: -$20.91K

Yes position

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

Yes position

Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

Yes position

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.04K
Potential profit: $82.04K
User PnL: -$8.58K

Yes position

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.5K
Potential profit: $54.5K
User PnL: -$86.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.44K
Potential profit: $54.44K
User PnL: -$26.13K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $51.68K
Potential payout: $51.97K
Potential profit: $285.81
User PnL: $18.85K

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.56K
Potential profit: $29.56K
User PnL: -$2.82K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.7K
Potential profit: $17.7K
User PnL: -$7.84K

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.77K
User PnL: -$1.14K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.59K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.36K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.48K

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.05K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $45.24K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.59K

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.99K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.41K

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.89K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01K

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.55K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.92K

Yes position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89K

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.59K

No position

Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17K

Yes position

Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61K

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82K

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 89.1% 38,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 88.1% 4,022.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 85.1% 75,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 2,257.89 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 17.5% 2,608 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 16.7% 9,627.4 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.5% 26,572.57 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 14.8% 5,131.56 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 14,967.93 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 12% 40,108.15 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 21% 53,869.62 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 86,503.08 shares