No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Polymarket Trader
alvinclaudia1286
0x1cc1b1d8d5a9f37ab95e31c54601e00da2fc85d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the Conservative Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 70% 69 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 70% 69 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 95.1% 41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 81.9% 54 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 51 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.2% 69 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.2% 150 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.6% 29 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 96.2% 43 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 11 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.3% 17 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.7% 50 shares