No position
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$998.67
Polymarket Trader
aved
@MentionMetrix
0x1cc2c1a54b1e86621b01009cb78104b3e9685003
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$791.63
No position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$880.37
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$176
No position
Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.64
- Potential profit
- $303.64
- User PnL
- -$40.44
No position
Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.99
- Potential profit
- $247.99
- User PnL
- -$111.61
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.82
- Potential profit
- $166.82
- User PnL
- -$77.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.85
- Potential profit
- $100.85
- User PnL
- -$59
No position
Will Trump say "Accord" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.11
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.88
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.65
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.34
No position
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.5
No position
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.06
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.99
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.66
No position
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Biden" during executive order signing events on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.9
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.5
No position
Will Trump say "Strong peace" during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.75
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week (November 24–30)?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.45
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Crisis" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.68
No position
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.51
No position
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.98
No position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.33
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.99
No position
Will Trump say "Healthcare" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 3,999.98 shares
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?No 12.9% 300 shares
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?No 13% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 53% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 54.7% 1,999.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?No 48% 30 shares
- Will "Match Point" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?No 25% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes 32% 300 shares
- Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 9+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Yes 61.1% 399.98 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Yes 74.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?Yes 87.6% 203.72 shares
- Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No 23% 200 shares