No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.54
- Potential profit
- $461.54
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
verus
0x1ccc71c7502367d6b0da91fe42d1d4a4505961df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.22
- Realized PnL
- $9.95
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.9
- Potential profit
- $152.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $15.17
- Potential payout
- $108.33
- Potential profit
- $93.17
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $107.11
- Potential profit
- $104.44
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.25
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $44.13
- Potential profit
- $43.72
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.37
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $25.67
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.65
- Potential profit
- $9.65
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?Yes 3% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?Yes 99% 19.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?Yes 2.3% 44.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 29?Yes 29% 4.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 1?Yes 5.1% 19.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 29?No 86.1% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 29?No 79.9% 12.51 shares