Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.84K
- Potential profit
- $30.84K
- User PnL
- -$9.04K
Polymarket Trader
0x1Cd147D1dFD1f129409BDaCa9A543B217ea39c20-1730764125093
0x1cd147d1dfd1f129409bdaca9a543b217ea39c20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $306.91
- Realized PnL
- $10.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.54K
- Potential profit
- $7.54K
- User PnL
- -$34.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.43K
- Potential profit
- $6.43K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- User PnL
- -$169.99
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 30m?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$777.13
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$19.97
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $996.28
- Potential profit
- $996.28
- User PnL
- -$256.43
No position
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $618.1
- Potential profit
- $618.1
- User PnL
- -$128
No position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.8%
- Current value
- $281.91
- Potential payout
- $615.53
- Potential profit
- $333.62
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- -$18.09
Yes position
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.1
- Potential profit
- $562.1
- User PnL
- -$41.37
Yes position
Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.1
- Potential profit
- $562.1
- User PnL
- -$41.37
Yes position
Will a contestant numbered 101 - 125 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.1
- Potential profit
- $562.1
- User PnL
- -$41.37
Yes position
Will a contestant numbered 126 - 150 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.1
- Potential profit
- $562.1
- User PnL
- -$41.37
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.8
- Potential profit
- $551.8
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $548.66
- Potential profit
- $548.66
- User PnL
- -$40.38
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545.08
- Potential profit
- $545.08
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.99
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.89
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.69
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.23
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.66
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.23
Yes position
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.17
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.03
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.91
Yes position
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.06
Yes position
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.58
Yes position
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.7
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.93
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.2
Yes position
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.85
Yes position
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.82
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.59
Yes position
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.59
Yes position
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.39
Yes position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $46.86
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.97
Yes position
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.71
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 32% 312.64 shares
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 69.2% 150 shares
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 38% 150 shares
- Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 3.1% 30.81 shares
- Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes 1.9% 23.91 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 57.6% 520.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown 2% 46.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown 7% 29.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown 32% 29.72 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?Yes 0.2% 1,500 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Yes 0.6% 545.08 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes 0.8% 474.21 shares