No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $25.75K
- Potential payout
- $29.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$297.51
Polymarket Trader
0x1cD417839E1AFbdB30201845Cd1C09BC2E9ff100-1775123478562
0x1cd417839e1afbdb30201845cd1c09bc2e9ff100
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.67K
- Realized PnL
- $878.43
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.92K
- Potential payout
- $9.97K
- Potential profit
- $44.86
- User PnL
- $41.8
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.15
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.74
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.2% 500 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.9% 1,803.8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 72.3% 20 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes 37.2% 20 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 38% 125 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No 32% 100 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes 65.1% 123 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No 31% 100 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes 70.1% 200 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 72% 100 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 86% 100 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 0.2% 100 shares