No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $199.02
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $866.88
Polymarket Trader
NFP
0x1cdc418b72175a30ed94f7e8357771592343aa82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.27K
- Realized PnL
- $5.12K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $378.9
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$525.48
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213
- Potential profit
- $213
- User PnL
- -$125.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Negative position
Ethereum ETF Flows on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.45
No position
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.44
Yes position
Will Napoli win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will a candidate from another party win West Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arkansas Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Brentford wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will another team win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Arkansas Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a Republican win West Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will a Democrat win West Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will a Republican win Utah Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will a Democrat win Arkansas Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will another team win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will a Democrat win Utah Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Utah Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 55% 260 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 46% 260 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 54% 70 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 47% 70.7 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 54% 488 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 53.2% 500 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 53% 69 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 50% 57 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 53% 82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 50% 81.56 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 53% 215 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 50% 215 shares