Verissimo

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690.26
Potential profit: $690.26
User PnL: -$178

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $18.55
Potential payout: $608.33
Potential profit: $589.78
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $413.54
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $350.36
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$26.73

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $22.03
Potential payout: $338.9
Potential profit: $316.87
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$38.47

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $241.15
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$21.15

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.22
Potential profit: $237.22
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $62.9
Potential payout: $193.55
Potential profit: $130.65
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $134.64
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $102.56
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $92.82
Potential profit: $88.59
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$10.78

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $85.72
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$25.29

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.35
Potential profit: $51.35
User PnL: -$9.76

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19

Over position

Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.8
Potential profit: $48.8
User PnL: -$9.76

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $45.4
Potential profit: $42.45
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$17.02

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.99
Potential profit: $31.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.82

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.39

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.06

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

Yes position

Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?