Polymarket Trader

shirokb

0x1ce2f4d7392d50e8453d478da24ace68e8add913

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.95
Realized PnL: -$94.86
Win rate: 11.1%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Boston Red Sox position

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.75
Potential profit: $477.75
User PnL: -$95.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.12
Potential profit: $267.12
User PnL: -$39.96

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Atlanta Braves position

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $15.41
Potential profit: $12.87
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.46

Miami Marlins position

Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $14.52
Potential profit: $10.85
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: $0.67

Cincinnati Reds position

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Detroit Tigers position

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $12.24
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: -$0.07

Chicago White Sox position

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3

Washington Nationals position

Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

Cleveland Guardians position

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

San Francisco Giants position

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$3

Milwaukee Brewers position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $6.38
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $58.25

Chicago Cubs position

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Tampa Bay Rays position

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Houston Astros position

Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Athletics position

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.82

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$115.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 20.6% 4.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 32% 6.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 20.7% 9.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 33.4% 5.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 15.2% 844.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 28.8% 844.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 934.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 21.8% 934.02 shares
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

Atlanta Braves 16% 18.75 shares