Polymarket Trader

samuelcat

0x1ce33d5d1bbd53eba4aac19e9ef9e17352b114a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.63
Realized PnL: $47.15
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.25
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.25
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $283.71
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.88
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $196.07
Potential profit: $191.66
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $59.76
Potential profit: $59.58
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $52.35
Potential profit: $48.76
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $47.61
Potential profit: $47.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $43.27
Potential profit: $43.02
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $35.84
Potential profit: $32.24
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$1.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 49% 5 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 34% 5 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 7% 10 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 40% 10 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 33% 10 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 42% 10 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 44% 10 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 10 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 48% 10 shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 49% 11.1 shares