Polymarket Trader

crashhh

0x1ce9d778b0750676a04a826c407ec4c15c697115

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $485.23
Realized PnL: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $56.91
Potential payout: $88.23
Potential profit: $31.32
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $14.58

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $84.24
Potential payout: $86.53
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $43.57

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $42.13
Potential payout: $81.81
Potential profit: $39.68
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $42.99
Potential payout: $80.35
Potential profit: $37.36
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $37.13
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $37.88
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$6.38

No position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $43.19
Potential payout: $72.58
Potential profit: $29.39
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $59.71
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $49.57
Potential payout: $70.31
Potential profit: $20.74
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $35.35
Potential payout: $61.47
Potential profit: $26.12
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $34.04
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $4.42
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $9.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.59

Hurricanes position

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.71

Dalma Galfi position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanova

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.95

Katie Volynets position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatsch

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.38

Golden Knights position

Utah vs. Golden Knights

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.11

Elmer Moeller position

Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.02

Over position

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.47

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.16

Henrique Rocha position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinski

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Lahore Qalandars position

Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiators

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

Over position

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.48

Over position

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.69

Colorado Rockies position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.47

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.44

Over position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.69

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.28

Under position

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.36

Yes position

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.22

Over position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.53

Under position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.53

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

No 54% 80.35 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 62.7% 71.42 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

No 98% 45.45 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

No 60% 72.58 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

No 62% 70.31 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 48% 88.23 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

No 47% 86.53 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

No 58% 75 shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals

St. Louis Cardinals 70% 57.69 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Over 55% 81.81 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets 70% 62.5 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 66% 66.17 shares