Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
OKx
0x1cea54e920d0ceab196727e183720b026e90096d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $334.83
- Realized PnL
- $224.11
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $293.08
- Potential payout
- $350.99
- Potential profit
- $57.91
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.42
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.28
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.72
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.16
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Swell airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?
Ends Oct 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Jaguars position
Jaguars vs. Bears
Ends Oct 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Dodgers position
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winner
Ends Oct 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 117.65 shares
- 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 123.46 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 50 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 91% 54.95 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 203.67 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.8% 102.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 50.97 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 56% 16.41 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 64% 21.88 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 64% 43.75 shares