Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $193.61
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$456.92
Polymarket Trader
goask
0x1cea7192af5d7b1826083a19c5be75115a2df32a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $11.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $177.19
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $53.31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $173.19
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $19.62
Yes position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$117.15
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $25.78
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$186.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$343.4
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $166.84
- Potential payout
- $901.86
- Potential profit
- $735.02
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$118.57
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $198.79
- Potential payout
- $845.94
- Potential profit
- $647.14
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.48
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $53
- Potential payout
- $779.4
- Potential profit
- $726.4
- Multiplier
- 14.71x
- User PnL
- -$27.9
Yes position
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $139.29
- Potential payout
- $773.81
- Potential profit
- $634.52
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $39.29
No position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $203.07
- Potential payout
- $752.11
- Potential profit
- $549.04
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$29.18
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $745.88
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $731.76
- Potential profit
- $727.74
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$195.97
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $722.29
- Potential profit
- $722.29
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $692.97
- Potential profit
- $692.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $675
- Potential profit
- $673.65
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$66.15
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $654.69
- Potential profit
- $654.69
- User PnL
- -$276
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $597.97
- Potential profit
- $597.97
- User PnL
- -$8.63
Yes position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $85.39
- Potential payout
- $569.29
- Potential profit
- $483.9
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $23.12
- Potential payout
- $557.18
- Potential profit
- $534.05
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$27.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.69
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.25
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.42
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.14
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.53
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.67
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.55
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.29
Yes position
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.58
No position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.1
Yes position
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.95
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.47
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.1
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.84
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.34
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.54
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.81
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.91
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.31
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.46
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes 3.5% 28.57 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 114.04 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes 4% 50 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes 11% 145 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 802.79 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 630 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.1% 1,680 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.2% 250 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 33.1% 211.76 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 1.8% 1,000 shares