Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $175.5
- Potential payout
- $39K
- Potential profit
- $38.82K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Polymarket Trader
askldfgjhadlskfj
0x1cf7619068fd5493156cfd6f73de3c5f4bc6fa07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $790.77
- Realized PnL
- $14.86K
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.63K
- Potential profit
- $10.63K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $368.6
- Potential payout
- $3.88K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $194.47
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $859.58
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $52.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.24
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.24K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.48
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.57
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.14
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $269.04
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.93
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $15.34
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102.63
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$125.26
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$214.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$217.39
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$342.96
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$443.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 970 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 460 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 1,500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 950 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 19,000 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 513.51 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 540.54 shares
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 60 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 66% 312.12 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 33.9% 310.34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 29% 310.34 shares