Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.83
- Potential profit
- $12.83
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Polymarket Trader
Black.Rose
0x1cf9e79f0c68a49052c4a434e4f4872fe0b76e4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.79
- Realized PnL
- $371.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $12.14
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $10.95
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $10.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.75
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or below on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 14?Yes 20.1% 12.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 14?Yes 32% 7.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?Yes 49% 10.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?Yes 47% 5.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?Yes 30% 5.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?Yes 35% 5.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?Yes 49% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?Yes 52% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?Yes 69% 6.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?Yes 28% 8.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?Yes 37% 13.16 shares