N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $5.7
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Polymarket Trader
cupkappu
0x1d140bc37732c05e5333fbb7a99cae00bfc02661
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.05
- Realized PnL
- $6.97
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $3.32
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Martin Damm position
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No 87.7% 5.7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 95% 5.26 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 99.9% 5.26 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?No 92% 4.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?No 83% 4.82 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 85% 9.3 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?No 93.3% 3.32 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 98.9% 5.06 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 95% 5.26 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.4% 3.17 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.5% 3.18 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?No 92% 5.43 shares