Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.9K
- Potential profit
- $48.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Polymarket Trader
0x1D17C01ECaFD2affDc40b96827BAeA078770F3ad-1759371458643
0x1d17c01ecafd2affdc40b96827baea078770f3ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.32K
- Realized PnL
- $40.18K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.6K
- Potential profit
- $38.6K
- User PnL
- -$4.3K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.52K
- Potential profit
- $25.52K
- User PnL
- -$842.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $24K
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $12.2K
- Potential payout
- $21.22K
- Potential profit
- $9.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.88K
- Potential profit
- $18.88K
- User PnL
- -$689.64
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $17K
- User PnL
- -$7.92K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.68K
- Potential profit
- $15.68K
- User PnL
- -$5.02K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.85K
- Potential profit
- $14.85K
- User PnL
- -$7.58K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $11.18K
- User PnL
- -$223.53
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.88K
- Potential profit
- $8.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.83K
- Potential profit
- $7.83K
- User PnL
- -$2.74K
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.05K
- Potential profit
- $7.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $6.7K
- User PnL
- -$402.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $930
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $450
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$3.2K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- -$2.93K
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$2.48K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
No position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$551.17
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $50.57
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$949.43
Yes position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$320.58
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$689.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84K
Under position
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Under position
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.25
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.86
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.18
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.56
Over position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.98
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.63
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$628.07
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$850
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$970.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.51K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 248.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 6,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24% 9,696.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 311.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 25% 2,084.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 10% 14,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 6% 6,703.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 3.7% 1,362.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 2% 11,176.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62% 35 shares