Polymarket Trader

b14k

0x1d1aa3439835cc8dbb5e55d615bee3f39b0d324e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.85K
Realized PnL: $8.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $109.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $232.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $267.5
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $171
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $177
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $53

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $69.57
Potential payout: $185.53
Potential profit: $115.96
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $43.97

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $38.94
Potential payout: $181.11
Potential profit: $142.17
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $6.61

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $95.32
Potential payout: $118.41
Potential profit: $23.09
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $64.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $3

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $79.28
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.72
User PnL: $32.48

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $18.88

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $7.97
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $953.27

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $934.45

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.61

No position

Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.63

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.25

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.4

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.46

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310

No position

Will Leavitt say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.2

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258

No position

Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.31

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.54

No position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.35

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.05

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Border" 4+ times in Wisconsin on Thursday?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.8

No position

Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $165.79

No position

Will Trump say "Election" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.79

No position

Will Trump say "Karoline Leavitt" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 38.3% 122 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 21% 100 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 26.9% 122 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 45% 100 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

No 45% 100 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.1% 119.95 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 18.9% 199.99 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

No 62% 236.81 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 85.4% 343.05 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 57% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 57% 1,000 shares