No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $446.17
- Potential payout
- $493
- Potential profit
- $46.83
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $86.28
Polymarket Trader
redblack-trees
0x1d29e4dd94e5510d4aa43de410ef012a90455268
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $446.17
- Realized PnL
- $336.68
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.53
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 12?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 99.4% 700 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 94% 700 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 73% 493 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on May 24?No 96.3% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 14?No 95% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?No 88% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 13?No 93% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 12?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on May 11?No 97.2% 2.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 12?No 95% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on May 11?No 97.4% 30.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on May 11?No 92% 20 shares