No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $584.15K
- Potential profit
- $584.15K
- User PnL
- -$872.13
Polymarket Trader
0x1d29...a562
0x1d29e8270f2ccd08f878256e4534193123cfa562
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $155.74
- Realized PnL
- $555.04
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $155.74
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $9.28K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$100.71
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578.21
- Potential profit
- $578.21
- User PnL
- -$80.95
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.33
- Potential profit
- $179.33
- User PnL
- -$53.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.09
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.1% 1 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 578.21 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 22% 371.69 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 48,790 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 25,550 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 24,780 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 24,870 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 24,870 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 24,870 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 24,870 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.2% 49,750 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 99,500 shares