CapeCalibratedPM

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $64.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $268.83
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $26.92
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $240.94
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $229.15
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $185.77
Potential profit: $164.87
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $52.54
Potential payout: $181.47
Potential profit: $128.93
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $22.54

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $160.44
Potential profit: $159.88
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$17.7

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.55
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $80.75
Potential profit: $71.47
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $80.28
Potential profit: $79.76
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.75
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $53.85
Potential profit: $53.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.65

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $26.39
Potential payout: $53.32
Potential profit: $26.93
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.65
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $29.71
Potential profit: $28.74
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.19
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $18.82
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.31
Potential profit: $26.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.85

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $24.93
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$17.54

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $23.05
Potential profit: $18.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $20.93
Potential payout: $21.18
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17.93

Yes position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $9.28
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.58

No position

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $8.74
Potential payout: $19.21
Potential profit: $10.47
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $19.2
Potential profit: $19.14
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.29

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.82

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.37

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.87

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.86

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.58

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.02

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.74

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.34

No position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.67

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.45

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.02

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.55

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.65

Under position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.12

GenOne position

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.61

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.53

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.34

HULIGANI position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.16

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.69

Nick Kyrgios position

Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet