No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
skyhjq
0x1d2abb4f1366023d6b47ecd48b41a629a8410c0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.24
- Realized PnL
- $317.75
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $129.87
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $101.37
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $3.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.57
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$50.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$281.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 105.26 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 43% 116.28 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 129.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp 88.9% 129.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp 77% 129.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 5% 147.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 17% 147.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 24% 277.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 36% 277.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 80% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown 98% 153.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown 65.2% 153.47 shares