Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $3.86
Polymarket Trader
David-Martinez315
0x1d2e9281e2ddc86b7547d31e8ddfb946a545ebae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$0.28
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 51% 16.27 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 43% 16.28 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 7.2% 12.82 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 7.8% 12.82 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 5% 98.23 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 5.1% 98.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 63% 10.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 27.5% 10.89 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 14% 31.29 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 30.9% 31.29 shares