Yes position
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" 2+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x1d377290090bD530c198F71E596Db38B80C2F1D2-1762543311129
0x1d377290090bd530c198f71e596db38b80c2f1d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.28
- Realized PnL
- $230.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.49
- Potential profit
- $212.49
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $64.28
- Potential payout
- $104.53
- Potential profit
- $40.24
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.01
- Potential profit
- $67.01
- User PnL
- -$13.15
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.54
- Potential profit
- $38.54
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.03
- Potential profit
- $37.03
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.3
- Potential profit
- $20.3
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.65
- Potential profit
- $12.65
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.34
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$9.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.62
- Potential profit
- $11.62
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.62
- Potential profit
- $11.62
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.62
- Potential profit
- $11.62
- User PnL
- -$8.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 59% 104.53 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 43.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 53.16 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 66.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?Yes 27% 16.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?Yes 59.5% 16.8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 13% 43.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 28.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?Yes 60% 48.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?Yes 82.2% 48.69 shares