Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $98.13
- Potential payout
- $13.08K
- Potential profit
- $12.99K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$162
Polymarket Trader
Donintello
0x1d38541906e1f4e23774f27d2b82b41552d12078
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58K
- Realized PnL
- $2.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $10.94K
- Potential profit
- $10.94K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.39
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $44.7
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $5.92K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $30.11
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$42.03
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $54.83
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$6.79
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $599.36
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$311.45
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $161.97
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- -$22.94
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $9.41
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$287.67
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $15.09
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$340.11
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$106.29
Yes position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $73.99
- Potential payout
- $870.49
- Potential profit
- $796.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $97.88
- Potential payout
- $783.08
- Potential profit
- $685.19
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$87.48
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $608.88
- Potential profit
- $603.7
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$119.74
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $331
- Potential payout
- $486.76
- Potential profit
- $155.76
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$12.88
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $268.31
- Potential profit
- $268.05
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.89
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.36
- Potential profit
- $126.36
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $88.47
- Potential profit
- $86.08
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $39.66
- Potential payout
- $84.38
- Potential profit
- $44.72
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$22.34
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $477.83
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.48
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.12
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.75
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.08
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $137.11
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.03
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.16
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $56.91
No position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.58
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $46.17
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.7
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.47
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $34.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 12?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.83
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $32.81
No position
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $26.77
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.53
Yes position
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $24.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes 7% 196.86 shares
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 71.8% 69.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 30.3% 688.92 shares
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 70.8% 127.12 shares
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 83.1% 60 shares
- Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.6% 6,879.6 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 34% 117.65 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Yes 36% 54.44 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 27.8% 522.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 31.4% 318.33 shares
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4% 800 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 32% 46.88 shares