Polymarket Trader

tsunamisurfer

0x1d3f1944cb1f838ea706810bb9668f9e872d5242

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $149.4
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.31
Potential profit: $95.31
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.71
Potential profit: $92.71
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.91

Democratic position

Which party will control the senate?

Ends Feb 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

Democratic position

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?

Ends Jan 22, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will Biden say "Folks" three or more times during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021?

Ends Jan 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Democratic position

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?

Ends Jan 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Biden say "Convicted Felon" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Republican position

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Kamala president by Friday?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Biden position

Who will drink water first at the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Trump position

Who is asked the first debate question?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 5.1% 95.31 shares
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 5.4% 92.71 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

No 4.4% 45.63 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

Yes 54% 16.85 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 88.1% 11.35 shares
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Yes 82% 12.2 shares
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Ripple above $3.20 on January 24?

Yes 55% 36.36 shares
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

No 21% 47.62 shares
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?

Yes 68% 7.35 shares