Polymarket Trader

Deps

0x1d4d64200e3ff6d4baca07c8dea1e46395af070a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43
Realized PnL: $242.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $48.59
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.19
Potential profit: $18.19
User PnL: -$15.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Chimaev position

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47

Yes position

Will Solana hit $225 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.87

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

No position

Will Trump post less than 100 times on Truth Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 84.4% 48.59 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 2.5% 319.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 99.9% 13.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 74% 13.51 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.3% 94.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 86% 58.14 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.4% 40.54 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 81% 62.96 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev 83% 18.19 shares
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ateba Gautier 89% 16.85 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.6% 156.25 shares