Polymarket Trader

desth59

0x1d5722b395ae13a89aa8a05c2f12915897e2c5b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $1.71K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.32K
Potential profit: $36.32K
User PnL: -$96.86

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $8.43K
User PnL: -$1.48K

Jeremy Stephens position

UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$761.96

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$337.95

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $241.08
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $693.33

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.73
Potential profit: $700.73
User PnL: -$294

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.6
Potential profit: $498.6
User PnL: -$73.88

Waldo Cortes-Acosta position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.09
Potential profit: $240.09
User PnL: -$114.62

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.06
Potential profit: $214.06
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $145.83
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $120.83

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $112.56
Potential profit: $112.22
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.76

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.98
Potential profit: $50.98
User PnL: -$19.96

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.66
Potential profit: $31.66
User PnL: -$5.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.43

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.03

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.39

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.57

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.74

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.88

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $64.62

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.68

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.63

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $14.93

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.85

Grant Dawson position

UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.76

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.07

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Yes 28.3% 1,302.4 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Yes 12% 208.33 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Yes 1.9% 112.56 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8?

No 24.4% 1,384.81 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?

Up 64.7% 651.29 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?

Up 68.1% 651.29 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Yes 36.6% 112.5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Yes 40.3% 90 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Yes 42% 600 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?

Yes 6% 806 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Yes 3.9% 1,554.72 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Yes 4.5% 689 shares