Polymarket Trader

lw12

0x1d5c24a2fecdfe696b3a2593022a8aea0cce641b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.06
Realized PnL: $94.35
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $388.89
Potential profit: $382.08
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.68
Potential profit: $115.68
User PnL: -$39.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $97.23
Potential profit: $82.41
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $4.83

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.21
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $64.94
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $55.43
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $50.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $39.77
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $42.72
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Neymar score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $38.85
Potential profit: $38.17
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $10.34
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $24.14
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.82
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $24.56
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $24.74
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will Neymar score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $25.89
Potential profit: $24.96
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-06?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 8.2% 12.2 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 17% 29.41 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 61% 3.28 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 57% 8.77 shares
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?

No 42% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 47% 10.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Down 57% 8.77 shares
Son Heungmin: 1+ goals

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Son Heungmin: 2+ goals

Yes 12% 8.33 shares