Yes position
Will ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
bigfunky
0x1d5e0de9cef9c2df5b24ae3ca7828a749cbe64dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.9K
- Realized PnL
- $20.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $214.36
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $884.93
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$507.17
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $718.94
- Potential payout
- $887.58
- Potential profit
- $168.64
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$46.78
Yes position
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $134.95
- Potential payout
- $843.44
- Potential profit
- $708.49
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$449.81
No position
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $689.09
- Potential payout
- $707.85
- Potential profit
- $18.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $123.4
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $90.78
- Potential payout
- $551.85
- Potential profit
- $461.07
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- $19.67
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $27.04
- Potential payout
- $551.85
- Potential profit
- $524.81
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$44.07
No position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $477.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.97
- Potential profit
- $439.97
- User PnL
- -$215.02
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $75.84
- Potential payout
- $322.74
- Potential profit
- $246.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$198.02
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$234
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $263.75
- Potential profit
- $260.19
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$32.84
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $212.83
- Potential payout
- $227.02
- Potential profit
- $14.19
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $58.21
Yes position
Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $71
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$89
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $195.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $166
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $198.59
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $197.08
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $59.09
No position
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$39.3
No position
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $122.9
- Potential payout
- $125.99
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.49
No position
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $122.09
- Potential payout
- $124.96
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.49
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $808.91
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $673.47
Yes position
Speed/Kai beat Minecraft on current (43rd) attempt?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.48
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $582.66
No position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $548.38
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.15
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.51
No position
Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $328.8
Yes position
August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $296.34
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.65
Yes position
Speed/Kai beat Minecraft on 42nd attempt?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $281.61
No position
Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.3
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $215.49
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Ends Sep 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $215.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 89.3% 12.14 shares
- Canadiens vs. LightningCanadiens 41% 1,000 shares
- Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 99.9% 50 shares
- Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 99.7% 135.55 shares
- Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 99.9% 31.92 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 99.8% 50 shares
- Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?Yes 81.9% 18 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 40% 63.66 shares
- Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference?Yes 83% 60 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 22% 135.49 shares
- GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes 97% 100 shares