No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $25.68K
- Potential payout
- $28.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Polymarket Trader
QMG-SCALAR
0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.06K
- Realized PnL
- $16.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.16K
- Potential payout
- $10.21K
- Potential profit
- $56.17
- User PnL
- $250.02
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $6K
- Potential payout
- $6.03K
- Potential profit
- $27.14
- User PnL
- $124.4
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.83K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.49K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $27.08
- User PnL
- $135.14
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $21.81
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $940.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $489.43
- Potential payout
- $491.4
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- $3.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $986
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $802.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.5
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $736.55
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.56
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $503.51
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.08
No position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $452.55
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.79
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.95
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.54
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $325.07
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $300.04
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.42
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.37
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.75
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.42
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.56
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $204.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.6% 5,000 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.4% 1,000 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No 99.4% 499.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 5,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 15,000 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 655.93 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 2,500 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 2,100.92 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 33.61 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?No 99% 491.4 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.9% 800 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 99.3% 500 shares