Yes position
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x1d69F19Cd1c480432A161abb82aa050aCdEa8f9E-1728282317880
0x1d69f19cd1c480432a161abb82aa050acdea8f9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marek Woch be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $905.67
- Potential profit
- $905.67
- User PnL
- -$333.25
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $189.94
- Potential payout
- $808.25
- Potential profit
- $618.31
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$96.42
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497
- Potential profit
- $497
- User PnL
- -$305.9
New Zealand position
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.65
- Potential profit
- $332.65
- User PnL
- -$14.48
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305
- Potential profit
- $305
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297
- Potential profit
- $297
- User PnL
- -$191.48
Yes position
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $196
- User PnL
- -$50.96
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.01
- Potential profit
- $164.01
- User PnL
- -$56.01
Yes position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $149.99
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$16.48
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.99
- Potential profit
- $134.99
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.55
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$15.55
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.83
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.69
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.03
Yes position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.4
Yes position
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.69
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.67
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.82
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.72
Yes position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.66
No position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.84
Yes position
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.45
Yes position
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.6
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.88
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Miller for Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.17
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.12
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 7.4% 14.99 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 0.3% 340 shares
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadSunrisers Hyderabad 63% 15.52 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 62% 24.19 shares
- Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?Yes 0.1% 100 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 25 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 32% 8.25 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 39% 200 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 34.2% 33.79 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 32% 12.12 shares
- Will India join the Board of Peace?Yes 17% 30 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.3% 100 shares