No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Polymarket Trader
userswiss01
@marketadapter02
0x1d7df09dd11b3d712b6db4feb5b9cb3ccc54c2c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $264.97
- Realized PnL
- $177.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $53.35
- Potential payout
- $55.48
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $12.84
- Potential payout
- $31.7
- Potential profit
- $18.86
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $18.41
- Potential payout
- $29.69
- Potential profit
- $11.28
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $22.42
- Potential payout
- $23.98
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $14.41
- Potential payout
- $18.36
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $18.3
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5.99
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $16.49
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $14.93
- Potential payout
- $15.47
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $15.03
- Potential profit
- $11.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $10.34
- Potential payout
- $14.27
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $12.29
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- User PnL
- -$2.99
BIG position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.14
- Potential profit
- $11.14
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $10.27
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.76
- Potential profit
- $9.76
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $9.51
- Potential profit
- $5.47
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.63
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- User PnL
- -$4.66
No position
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $8.52
- Potential profit
- $3.79
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $7.68
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 54% 18.3 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 49% 14.27 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No 44% 10.16 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 29.5% 10.17 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 43% 25.56 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 72% 10.15 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 77.3% 5.83 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 49% 23.98 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 81% 9.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 75% 9.35 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 69.9% 9.98 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 65% 12.29 shares