No position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $11.86
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Polymarket Trader
0x1D81a7927a5F45d7E373D4c7be5A6750fAf30961-1770936098475
0x1d81a7927a5f45d7e373d4c7be5a6750faf30961
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.93
- Realized PnL
- $246.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.1%
- Current value
- $6.08
- Potential payout
- $9.5
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
No position
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
No position
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Fnatic position
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
REJECT position
Valorant: Insomnia vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?No 99.3% 10.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No 93.2% 12.65 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 99.9% 9.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?No 99.9% 12.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?No 99.9% 12.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?Yes 99.9% 9.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.1% 9.17 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No 99.4% 9.61 shares
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt 1% 34.65 shares
- Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?No 90.1% 13.88 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes 93% 13.15 shares