Polymarket Trader

Irondo

@TGKThunders

0x1d8f592616531b95f8784953f222c3df5b1b09e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.93K
Realized PnL: $7.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $8.43K
Potential payout: $8.44K
Potential profit: $8.44
User PnL: $8.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.51K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69.3%
Current value: $346.45
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $153.55
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$105.55

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $93.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $4.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $30.88
User PnL: -$9.88

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $13.39
User PnL: -$9.91

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.32

No position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.77

No position

Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.82

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

No position

Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 99.8% 1,111 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 132.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 99.9% 2,829 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 5,598.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 99.9% 2,959 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?

No 99.9% 8,543.75 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 86.8% 348.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.8% 8,502.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 1,971.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.9% 34.17 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?

No 99.9% 134.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

No 99.9% 1,799.3 shares