Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
xpdaddy
0x1da79d6e0214f50769470e5ebf9ab1a20c4f0e20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $474.51
- Realized PnL
- $865.27
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $24.15
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$90.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $20.8
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$138.18
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $15.64
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$50.36
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $904.09
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $373.87
- Potential payout
- $821.7
- Potential profit
- $447.82
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $596.89
- Potential profit
- $578.09
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$17.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$10
Team Liquid position
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.29
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $584.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.05
Over position
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
NRG position
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Gentle Mates position
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Fnatic position
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
G2 Esports position
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Paper Rex position
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Gen.G Esports position
Valorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Global Esports position
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Team Heretics position
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Paper Rex position
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
100 Thieves position
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Team Vitality position
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Team Heretics position
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Gentle Mates GC position
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Gen.G Esports position
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
NRG position
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Paper Rex position
Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 5.2% 77.5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes 2.5% 320.18 shares
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 64.2% 50.84 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes 2.8% 107.14 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 4.9% 205.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 288.7 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 7% 314.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 709.91 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes 2.7% 185.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares