Polymarket Trader

aelo

0x1db9b370be58c275419b29127761a1a63da36128

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.58
Realized PnL: $0.65
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Joe Molloy win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will George Foreman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will D’Angelo be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $2.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $2.05
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Country gets medal for first time in Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Harvard international students ban ended before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (September 22-28)

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Netanyahu out before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

GPT-5 released in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Hangzhou Open?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Fed abolished in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

U.S. Recession in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Donald Trump sign 28-29 executive orders in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will George Foreman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

No 99.8% 265 shares
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 10?

Up 99% 2.02 shares
Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?

Yes 92% 11.96 shares
Will George Foreman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

No 99.9% 267.68 shares
Will D’Angelo be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

No 99.7% 283.26 shares
Will D’Angelo be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

No 99.8% 285.77 shares
Will Joe Molloy win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Hangzhou Open?

Yes 97% 1.03 shares
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (September 22-28)

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition

No 76% 1.32 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

No 95% 1.16 shares