Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$613.99
Polymarket Trader
SnailMilker
0x1de20036f0cc727a6b18ea386133675656669e23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.38
- Realized PnL
- $5.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $89.38
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$186.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $921.59
- Potential profit
- $921.59
- User PnL
- -$19.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $32.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.65
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.82
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.66
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.07
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- $391.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $336.91
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $315.8
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $256.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.87
No position
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.11
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.52
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.57
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.08
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.24
Yes position
Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.15
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.32
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.95
No position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.27
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.43
Yes position
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.4
Yes position
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 51.4% 735.35 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 51.8% 965.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 10.9% 803.31 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 12.4% 803.31 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.8% 1,810.91 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 23.1% 2,432.88 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 9.7% 1,028.23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 16.8% 1,188.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 65% 131.57 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 76% 131.58 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 23.7% 1,861.67 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 37.4% 535.04 shares