No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $687.24
- Potential profit
- $687.24
- User PnL
- -$199
Polymarket Trader
Donknowwhatto
0x1de2feb2e59e5f403a1ec60d31d16d80339d7273
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $225.61
- Realized PnL
- $346.14
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yash Patel come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $39.19
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $38.08
- Potential payout
- $40.08
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.43
Yes position
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Ends Jan 18, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.3
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $30.09
- Potential profit
- $26.48
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
N
No position
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $16.34
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $10.67
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $25.01
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $11.33
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $13.68
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $12.18
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $13.09
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$6.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $12.78
- Potential payout
- $20.12
- Potential profit
- $7.34
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $13.08
- Potential payout
- $20.12
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $6.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.18
- Potential payout
- $20.11
- Potential profit
- $4.93
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $8.52
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.7%
- Current value
- $10.97
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $15.84
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $8.52
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $17.41
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Y
Yes position
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $7.03
- Potential payout
- $17.79
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $17.11
- Potential profit
- $13.86
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.17
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 2AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $2.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Y
Yes position
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.06
N
No position
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Y
Yes position
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?No 11% 30.09 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Yes 29% 50.09 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?No 10% 60.2 shares
- Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 69.5% 88.72 shares
- Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?No 86.5% 50 shares
- Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?Yes 53% 50.04 shares
- Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?No 52% 50.13 shares
- Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?Yes 52.1% 40.06 shares
- Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Yes 40% 37 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 11% 20.01 shares
- Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes 67.6% 20 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?No 48% 50 shares